Time series Analysis of Students' Ideological Changes in the Collaborative Education Model of Labor Education and Ideological and Political Education in Colleges and Universities

Abstract

It is of great significance to analyze the change of students' ideological concepts to test the effectiveness and optimize the collaborative education model of labor education ideological and political education in colleges and universities. This paper constructs an evaluation index system for the ideological and moral quality of students in colleges and universities, and uses the hierarchical analysis method to assign weights to the indexes, and then constructs a success evaluation model based on the with the object meta-topologically tractable model, and uses the ARIMA model to conduct a time-series analysis on this basis, so as to explore the changes in the students' ideological concepts and the trend of the implementation of collaborative educating mode. The study shows that the level of students' ideological and moral quality in H colleges and universities in 2018-2022 is high. The selected optimal model AR(2) for predicting the change of students' ideological concepts in college H passed the inverse root detection and fitting detection, and the prediction effect was better, in which the predicted values of the political ideal belief indexes in the three periods of backward 2023-2025 were 34.62, 34.73, and 34.85, respectively.The prediction results show that the overall level of students' ideological and moral qualities in college H in 2018-2025 shows a a year-by-year growth trend, but the growth rate is expected to slow down due to reaching the bottleneck, so it is necessary to continue to implement and optimize the synergistic parenting model of ideological and political education of labor education.