Collaborative Governance of Cross-border Transportation Security in Central Asia under the Perspective of Digital Empowerment - A Simulation Analysis Based on Evolutionary Game Models

Abstract

In recent years, the trade volume between China and the five Central Asian countries has maintained a high growth rate, which has led to the growth of the demand for international trade transportation services between China and the five Central Asian countries, and the ensuing cross-border transportation risks have gradually come into people's view. This paper first analyzes the current situation of cross-border transportation between China and the five Central Asian countries, including trade scale, logistics performance, logistics infrastructure and security risks. Secondly, based on the evolutionary game model, it analyzes the game of the three parties (governments, cross-border transport enterprises, and consumers) in the process of collaborative governance of cross-border transport safety between China and the five Central Asian countries. Then, Matlab is used to conduct numerical simulation analysis to explore the influence of collaborative governance factors in more depth, and optimization strategy analysis of different combinations of factors is conducted to study the importance of collaborative governance factors in depth. The simulation results show that the government is in the leading position in the process, cross-border logistics enterprises will choose the “cost priority” strategy in their own interests, and consumers, as the ultimate beneficiaries of cross-border transportation services, are highly motivated to participate in the collaborative governance of cross-border transportation safety. Finally, based on the current situation analysis and game simulation results, an optimization path of China-Central Asia cross-border transportation security collaborative governance is proposed based on the SFIC model, in order to better exert the synergistic effect of the three parties.