Application of Bio-Inspired Optimization Techniques for Wind Power Forecasting

Abstract

As the need for replacing fossil and other nonrenewable energy sources with renewables becomes more critical and urgent, wind energy appears to be among the two or three best choices for the short and medium time frames. The dominance of wind energy as the first choice in many regions, leads to an increasing impact of wind power quality on the overall grid. Wind energy’s inherent intermittent nature, both in intensity and longevity, could be an impediment to its adoption unless utility operators have the tools to anticipate the impact and integrate wind resources seamlessly by increasing or reducing its contribution to the overall capacity of the grid. The wind forecasting science is well established and has been the subject of serious study in multiple fields such as fluid dynamics, statistical analysis and numerical simulation and modeling. With the renewed interest and dependence on wind as a major energy source, these efforts have increased exponentially. One of the areas that shows great promise in developing improved forecasting tools, is the category of “Biological Inspired Optimization Techniques. The study presented in this paper is the result of a study to survey and assess an array of forecasting models and algorithms.